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Dec 12, 2012
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we will have calmed eurozone fears, revived china and an emerging world. gear u.s. recovery, which is operating on far more cylinders. housing activity. bank lending. falling unemployment rate. and finally, we would have restored a lot of debt balance sheet. that's a lot of positive force for the economy in 2013. i don't think it needs more fed involvement. >> likely to get something, though. i think we can both agree on that. what about the cliff? >> i think the cliff -- i think it's going to sound ugly and mean because that's the way you negotiate right up until the end of the year. i think we're going to get a modest tax hike, modest spending cut, and extend a lot of the existing relationships to live to fight for another day. >> jim, stick around as we kick it around with the traders. financials, that's what jim likes. >> i think the market is playing a game of three-card monty right now. you have the fed on one side, fiscal cliff in the middle, and i think earnings is actually where the coin is. that's where the prize is. i think the market is vulnerable becaus
we will have calmed eurozone fears, revived china and an emerging world. gear u.s. recovery, which is operating on far more cylinders. housing activity. bank lending. falling unemployment rate. and finally, we would have restored a lot of debt balance sheet. that's a lot of positive force for the economy in 2013. i don't think it needs more fed involvement. >> likely to get something, though. i think we can both agree on that. what about the cliff? >> i think the cliff -- i think...
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Dec 12, 2012
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credit outperformance and the valuation gap closing, and i think we get much more conviction about a china recovery and europe exiting recession so those really support stocks. >> what are you basing it on when you say we'll see a recovery in the second half? what's going to spur that? >> one of the things we studied pretty deeply in the report is looking at durable goods spending. never in u.s. history have we spent this little on construction and housing starts in cap "x." even s&p cap "x" is still pretty close to the 2009 lows, and, you know, when you think about all of that, you have to be very contrarian in terms of sectors this year or next year. >> right. >> and the surprise i think is going to be basic materials. that's the worst per forming group of the last two years. really almost a historic underperformance of that sector, and, again, it's very died to gdp picking up. >> very quickly, tom, do you change your outlook for next year if we go off the fiscal cliff? >> yeah. i mean, if we have a cliff and a recession, there is no bull market. you know, bull markets end with recession
credit outperformance and the valuation gap closing, and i think we get much more conviction about a china recovery and europe exiting recession so those really support stocks. >> what are you basing it on when you say we'll see a recovery in the second half? what's going to spur that? >> one of the things we studied pretty deeply in the report is looking at durable goods spending. never in u.s. history have we spent this little on construction and housing starts in cap...
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Dec 5, 2012
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they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which apple is the market leader. then you're going to see blockbuster earnings over the next two quarters. >> all right. we'll leave it there. gentlemen, thank you very much. we'll be watching apple and this market on the possibility for a deal. thanks, gentlemen. see you soon. we're just 26 days away from the fiscal cliff. steve liesman joins us now live from the treasury. he has an exclusive interview with one of the key negotiators at the white house, secretary of treasury timothy geithner. >> maria, thank you. i'm here with the secretary of treasury at a crucial ti
they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which...
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Dec 6, 2012
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if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >> dennis? >> joe brighton brings up the topic of a generational circumstance. going back a generation to me this reminds me of what happened in the early 1970s when you had the wonderful nifty 50 stocks you were supposed to own forever, all of which are wonderful companies -- >> 1970s or 1870s? >> i look like i was from the 1870s but apple is a wonderful company but not a good stock at this point. you have to be careful here. >> stephanie, what do you do, sitting there at home watching what all of us say as america's best loved stock, most valuable company on earth and watch it fall as far as it's f
if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >>...
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Dec 6, 2012
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the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what we've been enjoying in other markets. that means attractiveness towards luxury brands starts much sooner in those new markets. >> my thanks to the ceo of ppr. >>> tomorrow morning's key jobs report could move your money even before the opening bell rings. we have our panel of wall street's top market pros giving you a leg up on the ore side of this break. stay with us. we're back in a moment on "the closing bell." americans are always ready to work hard for a better future. since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first
the next 50 years we are adding 3 billion new consumers, china, india, brazil. let's add i understondonesia to. 3 billion consumers growing in the consumption trends. the growth that will come in front of us in the next 50 years have nothing to do with what has been achieved in the last 50 years. the only difference is that it will be done in those new markets, one, and the specificity of those markets, young people, loving brands, loving sports and becoming rich much sooner compared with what...
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Dec 13, 2012
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china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both sides. if they actually let this thing, not gust get through december 31st and do nothing about it. think about it. can president obama get anything done until he gets something, no? >> all the cuts that happened as a result of the fiscal cliff, all over the place. let's cut hundreds of billions in defense. it doesn't indicate what missions are going to be no longer what, programs we're going to kim. i mean, we really have to be stupid to be doing that. >> so irresponsible. >> not knowing where the cuts are hitting. >> right. >> for the security of this country. >> i agree. >> so, therefore, you're going to get
china, hard landing, so you've got worries about that so that's less downside. >> the dividend payers everybody was rushing, to you're going even beyond that to riskier assets in the stock market. >> going into cyclicals, some of which have been beaten down. these are the kinds of things. i think, now, the fiscal cliff saanich u, no question about it. we are going to get fiscal tightening one way or the other. what we're assuming is this is such a lose-lose proposition for both...
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Dec 14, 2012
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also, china story. apple's iphone is officially on sale in china starting today. that should help apple reverse a slide in its market share in that really important area. but analysts say the key to apple's future in china is a tie-up with the telecom operator china mobile. the two have been in talks for years but haven't yet come to any agreement. and you wonder how much china, how much do they want? how much do you have to give up to get a part over there? almost everything, right? >> pretty much. all of your data, everything -- >> their way, they get your technology. do they get the lion's share of -- do they split anything down the middle? >> anyway let's talk about facebook. a major facebook lockup expiration is happening today. early employees' investors will get their first chance to sell about 156 million facebook shares since the ipo back in may. and joining us now on the "squawk" newsline, henry blodget, the ceo and editor in chief at business insider. good morning. >> good morning, thanks for having me. >> a little prognostication here. does this matter
also, china story. apple's iphone is officially on sale in china starting today. that should help apple reverse a slide in its market share in that really important area. but analysts say the key to apple's future in china is a tie-up with the telecom operator china mobile. the two have been in talks for years but haven't yet come to any agreement. and you wonder how much china, how much do they want? how much do you have to give up to get a part over there? almost everything, right? >>...
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Dec 18, 2012
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and among the catalyst here, signs that china's recovery is gaining traction. sources say that the bank of japan will ease monetary policy this week and consider adopting a 2% inflation target no later than january. policymakers are seen responding to pressure from the incoming prime minister there. shinzo abe for stronger efforts to beat deflation. in the meantime, india's central bank kept interest rates on hold yesterday ignoring pressure to reduce borrowing costs. policymakers said they were shifting the focus to reducing the economy and that raises the odds of a rate cut as early as january. andrew olson, over to you. >> ubs reportedly nearing a fine of up to $1.5 billion. the bank is close to finalizing a deal with regulators according to the financial times. about three dozen bankers and senior managers are said to face criminal or civil charges. >>> and it's official this morning, tend of an era for aig. details emerged during squawk yesterday. today, the u.s. insurer rates $6.5 billion from the sale of its remaining stake in aia group. and boeing is ra
and among the catalyst here, signs that china's recovery is gaining traction. sources say that the bank of japan will ease monetary policy this week and consider adopting a 2% inflation target no later than january. policymakers are seen responding to pressure from the incoming prime minister there. shinzo abe for stronger efforts to beat deflation. in the meantime, india's central bank kept interest rates on hold yesterday ignoring pressure to reduce borrowing costs. policymakers said they...
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Dec 6, 2012
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china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is changing, but changing doesn't necessarily mean it's going somewhere negati negative. it's just going to be a different type of opportunity. >> well said as always, josh. but you also probably made the case for the capital gains sale excuse that a lot of people have been throwing out there. >> it's up 40% this year versus an s&p that's up closer to 10%. don't be shocked. everyone owns it. >> tony is right, ecosystem is worth a great deal of money. if you split up the iphone, i-mac, the iphone, it wouldn't be the s
china. i respect samsung but apple still has cache. >> i think the bottom line from the stock perspective and getting away from the company a little bit -- because we all know all of the size of it and how much cash and all of that. just looking at the stock itself, this thing is up 8,000% the last ten years. don't think that anyone should be looking at it as having that opportunity or anything even remotely close to that going forward. so when tony says the story's changing, it is...
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Dec 5, 2012
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the china ftse. this is a place i think we're goings higher. >> gnat gas up 4%. >> got a beth of a boost. also from companies wanting to get a little more gassy. >> oh. >> well, they are. they want to get some of this natural gas offshore and i still like it. >> grasso? >> i bought mc, i bought ac steel and i bought big steel, leonard x. i've already sold all three. i've clipped my profit. i'm done for now. if the global economy is doing better, they will continue to go higher. >> up 7%, western digital. mike? >> accelerated dividend is one. >> and we've got a pop here for honey boo boo. >> what? >> what do secretary of state hillary clinton, chris christie and honey boo boo have in common? they've all been placed on barbara walters' most fascinating list. honey boo boo has her fair share of critics including adam lee convenient and south parks. she's sweet loving. look at that face. >> so that's not a sign? >> what? >> of the myan prophecy. >> i knew you were going there. >> that's scary. >> all rig
the china ftse. this is a place i think we're goings higher. >> gnat gas up 4%. >> got a beth of a boost. also from companies wanting to get a little more gassy. >> oh. >> well, they are. they want to get some of this natural gas offshore and i still like it. >> grasso? >> i bought mc, i bought ac steel and i bought big steel, leonard x. i've already sold all three. i've clipped my profit. i'm done for now. if the global economy is doing better, they will...
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Dec 17, 2012
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you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be big. >> it is expected to give guidance for 2013. there's a 2:00 p.m. eastern time conference call, i believe, associated with that. so we may be learning some things in terms of at least our expectations next year from ge. increased its dividend last week, that not that long ago during the financial crisis was cut. rather substantially. over the last year, ge capital has begun paying a dividend yet again to its parent ge. and so it will be interesting to hear. we should point out ge still owns 49% as well as universal. >> ge made a major move. into oil and
you mentioned the copper, the china plays. the comments. the caterpillars of the world. >> remember when ets, used to buy the actual commodity, i don't know how much, but i do see there's a lot of things that tell me that it indicates maybe we reverse. i don't like big up monday openings. i feel like they often tend to fool people. the empire was not good. it's mixed here. it's just definitively mixed. we're thirsty for those earnings. oracle could be big. ge analysts' meetings could be...
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Dec 21, 2012
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china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud play and the use of it in the competition here, is that one of the key names? >> yes, it allows you to manage cloud in a cheap -- an anti-microsoft business. their partner is sales force.com. i'm really using these as tells. in other words, these are the ones where there's natural buyers. as we just found out how good things are. it wasn't like we found out a month ago. we just found out last night. if they have resilience, the market is going to be more resilient than people think. if they give up the ghost, i think next week's going to be difficult,
china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud...
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Dec 10, 2012
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china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if we don't get that $45 billion a month program that actually creates money supply, i think you might see a little selloff. but i think it's priced in at this point. so i think we do have a big question mark here. but it may be answered this week. i think that's what traders are focused on. it's a big last three days after a quiet two days this week. >> i want to ask rick about that in a moment. you're in the camp that any deal of the fiscal cliff will be positive for the market at this point. right? >> any type of rhetoric coming out of washington, d.c. has put a bid
china numbers tomorrow. then germany. maybe nothing there. i think everybody wants to fast forward to tuesday. they want to see what happens after operation twist expires. they want to see what bernanke said at 2:00. that's what we're looking at. >> we're always waiting around for something to happen. and if you wait around and climb this wall of worry, right, don't you sometimes miss out? >> i think you're right. and i think that we do expect something here this wednesday. and if...
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what happens in price control is almost invariably distortion of the allocation of resources china has got big problems in its system of credit the government controls and commands that fix interest rates allocates credit especially to state owned enterprises hence the empty shopping malls indeed empty cities now it's not so very different from what we have in this country where the federal reserve is muscling around the yield curve and sitting on the funds rate and raising up asset prices in the name of some set of goals that it's thinks are desirable it is heavily in the business of price control and indeed heavily into the business of central planning gradually and by the agree we have come to have all too much in common with what we call red china and there you go we'll have to leave it there i really appreciate you being here today jim grant always a pleasure on the day lauren pleasure thank you so much. all right let's wrap up with viewer feedback because it's friday and we have had some hotly debated interviews this week and we've received so much feedback so we have some good o
what happens in price control is almost invariably distortion of the allocation of resources china has got big problems in its system of credit the government controls and commands that fix interest rates allocates credit especially to state owned enterprises hence the empty shopping malls indeed empty cities now it's not so very different from what we have in this country where the federal reserve is muscling around the yield curve and sitting on the funds rate and raising up asset prices in...
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Dec 6, 2012
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>> well, he didn't speak to motive but i am guessing, tyler, given all the talk about china, given all the china problems they've had, working conditions, salaries, his forced trip over there, i'm guessing they think this would and good idea. they talk a lot about skilled labor over here and not educating the kinds of workers they need. but it's just one of the points he kind of scatters through this first real interview which was months upon months in the making, as i need not tell you. >> yes, indeed. sometimes dealing with apple, it takes a long, long time to get through. but once you do, they're very forthcoming. brian, did he speak at all to -- i don't want to use the word burden but in some ways it is a burden. they don't produce a lot of products every year but they do produce products that they consider revolutionary, that changes for the greater good the american society and the way business is done. that's a pretty heavy burden and mantel to carry for a company and for a ceo. >> it is. americans all around the world, when people get a little harsh on what happened to the amer
>> well, he didn't speak to motive but i am guessing, tyler, given all the talk about china, given all the china problems they've had, working conditions, salaries, his forced trip over there, i'm guessing they think this would and good idea. they talk a lot about skilled labor over here and not educating the kinds of workers they need. but it's just one of the points he kind of scatters through this first real interview which was months upon months in the making, as i need not tell you....
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Dec 13, 2012
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kfc in china. that's the growth in their, i think isn't yum bigger than mcdonald's in terms of total number? >> yeah. >> i think subway is, too. research -- >> they don't even call it kentucky tried anymore. >> kfc. >> and it's really chicken. >> that's uncalled for. what do you think it is, cat? that is uncalled for. >> this is all i'll say. >> tastes like chicken. >> yes, it's chicken! if david novak -- >> taco bell. >> yeah, taco bell. >> is that really meat? is that your next -- >> no. all right. the restaurant -- research in motion, rim shares coming off a seven-month high on news that the u.s. immigrations and customs enforcement agent are going to use the blackberry 10 on a trial basis. that is on news, did you see this, that the agency is going to ditch the iphone in favor -- >> okay, so why? >> i don't know. i just want to say, so blackberry was one of the sponsors of the thing yesterday, at the dealbook conference and they showed off the blackberry 10. >> kel me about it. >> they have one
kfc in china. that's the growth in their, i think isn't yum bigger than mcdonald's in terms of total number? >> yeah. >> i think subway is, too. research -- >> they don't even call it kentucky tried anymore. >> kfc. >> and it's really chicken. >> that's uncalled for. what do you think it is, cat? that is uncalled for. >> this is all i'll say. >> tastes like chicken. >> yes, it's chicken! if david novak -- >> taco bell. >> yeah,...
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Dec 5, 2012
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>> china is creating that great demand? >> yeah. the chinese customers. >> aren't margins lower than in an average hotel? you charge more but the services cost more. >> very expensive -- we need to be in a location that we can charge a good price and have high occupancy. otherwise the model doesn't work. >> what's the cheapest room i could get? >> in cairo? >> dominic strauss kahn -- >> in kabul, $800. for christmas, $2,000 a night. >> 2,000? >> for the christmas season, yes. and of course, the rest of year is about $800 a night. but last year, christmas, 64% of our guests rebooked for this year. that means we're giving value. that's what it's all about. that customer wants value by individually reliable attention. and that's what we're doing. business is exceptional. what is not exceptional is development of new hotels in the u.s. and europe. there's not development the last few years. that is, of course -- that hampers our growth. >> it hampers growth but makes you more -- the ones that are existing would be more dear, wouldn't th
>> china is creating that great demand? >> yeah. the chinese customers. >> aren't margins lower than in an average hotel? you charge more but the services cost more. >> very expensive -- we need to be in a location that we can charge a good price and have high occupancy. otherwise the model doesn't work. >> what's the cheapest room i could get? >> in cairo? >> dominic strauss kahn -- >> in kabul, $800. for christmas, $2,000 a night. >>...
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Dec 30, 2012
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lot of good public health things beg done and the rest of the world that is dominateing, india and china, but in the 60's they ssed the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. todaen we land, 2010, tse are the countries that borro money theichest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the lower left for thousands of years, it has been 200 years that you have all of this activity and how comeome countries are still stuck? >> it is easy to understand. the best message today is that most of thefrican countries are now in fast economic growth. they have correctedthe wrong market ideas they had 20 years ago, and they have a much better education than, -- and tanzania is similar to thailand in 1972 and soon we will see african countries doing good. >> this is wonderful. our problems are solved w know wh works and we will be rich. >>guest: no, we ha this problem with t billion human beings in poverty. i did mos
lot of good public health things beg done and the rest of the world that is dominateing, india and china, but in the 60's they ssed the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. todaen we land, 2010, tse are the countries that borro money theichest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the lower left for...
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Dec 10, 2012
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this proposal also won the backing of russia and china at a conference in dubai. the pitch for direct regulation came as an unwelcome surprise to delegations from the united states and other countries that have supported the current system of regulation for the internet. when we come back, the near-term economic impact of america's debt crisis, we'll convene our "squawk" economic panel. nathan sheets and ian shepherdson on growth in 2013. right now, take a look at the equity futures. down by about 13 points. the s&p futures down by 3 points. ...so as you can see, geico's customer satisfaction is at 97%. mmmm tasty. and cut! very good. people are always asking me how we make these geico adverts. so we're taking you behind the scenes. this coffee cup, for example, is computer animated. it's not real. geico's customer satisfaction is quite real though. this computer-animated coffee tastes dreadful. geico. 15 minutes could save you 15 % or more on car insurance. someone get me a latte will ya, please? >>> welcome back to "squawk box," everyone. let's get a look at som
this proposal also won the backing of russia and china at a conference in dubai. the pitch for direct regulation came as an unwelcome surprise to delegations from the united states and other countries that have supported the current system of regulation for the internet. when we come back, the near-term economic impact of america's debt crisis, we'll convene our "squawk" economic panel. nathan sheets and ian shepherdson on growth in 2013. right now, take a look at the equity futures....
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Dec 7, 2012
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among the catalysts were that china's economy is stabilizing. the nikkei hit a seven-month closing high yesterday. and in europe you can see the markets are indicated slightly lower but, again, these are the same sort of moves in the futures here. a lot could depend on what happens at 8:30. >> why are you shaking your head, joe? >> nothing. i was getting info. >>> a new survey by potomac research group finds 60% of leading investment professionals predict a sharp decline in the economy if the government fails to make a deal. it's defined as a more than 10% drop in the dow. he's still shaking his head. the group polled hedge fund and pension funds and money market managers and 56% surveyed said a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff by year end. 44% predict failure in the ongoing negotiations. >>> let's get back to the jobs report due out, in less than 30 minutes, joining us now is mark zandi, chief economist at moody's analytics and jared bernstein former economic adviser to vice president joe biden. he has the finest nod and smile when he's introduce
among the catalysts were that china's economy is stabilizing. the nikkei hit a seven-month closing high yesterday. and in europe you can see the markets are indicated slightly lower but, again, these are the same sort of moves in the futures here. a lot could depend on what happens at 8:30. >> why are you shaking your head, joe? >> nothing. i was getting info. >>> a new survey by potomac research group finds 60% of leading investment professionals predict a sharp decline in...
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Dec 15, 2012
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the iphone's not selling well in china. something i heard today. we heard they don't have the same carrier sponsors. samsung is loved over there. that means numbers may come down again. why not take them down, do it simultaneously with taking the price target down, particularly one that's become an absurdity in the high 700s. that's exactly what one analyst did today, cut the price target and the numbers, which were too high. and that frightened people. my take on apple, i am not dogmatic, people, but i'll give you my story. my charitable trust owned it for a long time. one of our longest held positions. we did some selling about 90 points ago. why? because the stock had gone up so much that we had become the apple fund. so we took some profits. i confess to also being worried that the company lacks any new omg products and that could dim the company's long-term prospects. but we're holding on to the rest of our position in the trust because i think apple's a good investment that's inexpensive, even after the analyst numbers we got today. can't tra
the iphone's not selling well in china. something i heard today. we heard they don't have the same carrier sponsors. samsung is loved over there. that means numbers may come down again. why not take them down, do it simultaneously with taking the price target down, particularly one that's become an absurdity in the high 700s. that's exactly what one analyst did today, cut the price target and the numbers, which were too high. and that frightened people. my take on apple, i am not dogmatic,...
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Dec 14, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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people are concerned about the inventory building in china putting a lid on the stock. now, i am looking for a lid to be blown off by a turn in china eventual l. maybe not this quarter. while the u.s., i think, is strong because of foot locker, but some analyst came out today and said u.s. is even weak. remember, nike trades on futures orders, not on earnings. so if you're dumb enough to want to trade in after hours, be aware, you might be trading on the wrong number. friday. these are big brand names. what a big week next week. friday we get results from walgreen's. i feel badly for wag. we just heard from cvs yesterday which boosted its numbers. that's a tough comparison to go against. i don't know how walgreen's can keep up. i will say this, though, the drug stores have been in secular share take mode from other stores, which is one reason why cvs was able to deliver such a strong number p. and i think walgreen's will show better numbers now that it's put its express scripts tiff behind it. moving over to cvs. that was really he helpful for c slchlt s. the gigantic p
people are concerned about the inventory building in china putting a lid on the stock. now, i am looking for a lid to be blown off by a turn in china eventual l. maybe not this quarter. while the u.s., i think, is strong because of foot locker, but some analyst came out today and said u.s. is even weak. remember, nike trades on futures orders, not on earnings. so if you're dumb enough to want to trade in after hours, be aware, you might be trading on the wrong number. friday. these are big...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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china is okay. a lot of talk some institutional people might begin selling at this point because certainly retail investors in the u.s. are definitely buying the gold through the gld right now. the fiscal cliff very quickly here because the general consensus outlines of a deal out there. i know it doesn't sound that way. they're far apart. blah-blah. here is the idea. elements are emerging, folks, higher tax rates. nobody down here doesn't think there isn't going to be. if it's not 39% for the top 2%, it'll be 38%. some kind of compromise in the a area. the bad news and i've said this several times, the era of american austerity is beginning now and everybody is starting to realize that. the question is what's it going to look like? the good news is it's likely to be a gentle austerity, if i can say that, in 2013 and probably 2014 depending on the spending cuts. and there will be some cushion. the fed likely will continue its q/e program. they'll likely continue that during their meeting on december
china is okay. a lot of talk some institutional people might begin selling at this point because certainly retail investors in the u.s. are definitely buying the gold through the gld right now. the fiscal cliff very quickly here because the general consensus outlines of a deal out there. i know it doesn't sound that way. they're far apart. blah-blah. here is the idea. elements are emerging, folks, higher tax rates. nobody down here doesn't think there isn't going to be. if it's not 39% for the...
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china's china example she said well china those really resemble anything i think any amount here would support you know you don't want empty buildings but yes that's where the rubber meets the pavement and that has been in your view ideology and what happens in reality one hundred percent because the thing with china is what's their goal their goal is g.d.p. growth and jobs growth is if your goal is growth and jobs then you're not focused on. profitable investment you're not focused on making sure that your investment for ten thirty whatever period of time it is. turns a profit so what happens you naturally have malinvestment and you always do the real economy but the point is in china as an example if the state is the right investments getting all those growth people get jobs that build things then you have massive row investor you do have empty buildings and that to me is a problem is not adequately addressed that there seems to be this desire to live in this theoretical world where things would work if the only way they could write their own reality we often see so so different and
china's china example she said well china those really resemble anything i think any amount here would support you know you don't want empty buildings but yes that's where the rubber meets the pavement and that has been in your view ideology and what happens in reality one hundred percent because the thing with china is what's their goal their goal is g.d.p. growth and jobs growth is if your goal is growth and jobs then you're not focused on. profitable investment you're not focused on making...
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it doesn't come from china the government doesn't have it all on this idea that dollars come from china they don't write and because naturally we can print our own money that's true but i think that that's an important distinction that i would like to see made which is the distinction between the thing and the value of the thing or the things of value so the dollar is the thing but the dollar has value the dollar doesn't get its value from its from from from from itself it's a currency it gets its value from people's willingness to use it in transactions so you've got people that are willing to lend china is willing to lend the united states were able to borrow from china that is natural value that that currency gets because they're willing to the chinese voluntarily give it value they're willing to hold it there's taxation which is the other side of value coin which is forced value were forcing value into the currency as the sovereign you're saying you must pay me in this currency and therefore i still value in that thing so i think that's an important distinction to make and i think f
it doesn't come from china the government doesn't have it all on this idea that dollars come from china they don't write and because naturally we can print our own money that's true but i think that that's an important distinction that i would like to see made which is the distinction between the thing and the value of the thing or the things of value so the dollar is the thing but the dollar has value the dollar doesn't get its value from its from from from from itself it's a currency it gets...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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CSPAN
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a piece that relates to technology companies, a lot of people say how are we going to compete with china with 1.3 billion people? the answer is we can have the entire world at our disposal by creating conditions that the best people in the wormed can come to the united states and study. >> and stay and start businesses. >> two, then we have to focus on faction, particularly the corporate tax reform, to get a system which is simpler and promotes efficiency and makes it easier for businesses to compete if the world. third, then we have to -- that will create -- that will be enormous. third, then there is a infrastructure investment that needs to be made. this is very important because in the context of the kiped of budget deal we'll get where we'll spend less going forward as businesses, we have to think about what our values are with respect to what we'll spend money on. the most important things we can spend money on is infrastructure to again create -- make investments in the future rather than just short-term spending. and then twin that with important support for research, basic resea
a piece that relates to technology companies, a lot of people say how are we going to compete with china with 1.3 billion people? the answer is we can have the entire world at our disposal by creating conditions that the best people in the wormed can come to the united states and study. >> and stay and start businesses. >> two, then we have to focus on faction, particularly the corporate tax reform, to get a system which is simpler and promotes efficiency and makes it easier for...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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CSPAN
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people say, how do we compete with china? we can have the entire world at our disposal and start businesses. then we have to focus on tax and the corporate tax reform to get a system that is simpler and makes it easier for businesses to compete in the world. that will be enormous. there is an infrastructure investment that needs to be made. this is important with the budget deal going forward. we have to think about what our values are. we can spend money on infrastructure to make investments in the future rather than having short-term spending. support for basic research and for higher education, as drew talked about. tell us what is and we can plan around it with respect to health care costs and energy costs. then it businesses can create a renaissance of american competitiveness. >> i think that is a brilliant agenda. i don't think that has changed. let's assume we go through the fiscal cliff. immigration, investments. you are not going to do a dream act. it.had a chance to do w george bush, john mccain. maybe the republic
people say, how do we compete with china? we can have the entire world at our disposal and start businesses. then we have to focus on tax and the corporate tax reform to get a system that is simpler and makes it easier for businesses to compete in the world. that will be enormous. there is an infrastructure investment that needs to be made. this is important with the budget deal going forward. we have to think about what our values are. we can spend money on infrastructure to make investments...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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of big caterpillar equipment and talk about what's going on in china and i hope we get back to that. you're right that's all we're talking about instead of talking about caterpillar and what you do well as a great company. >> thank you. again, every time i come to the floor it's the hub of our greatness in this country of business. it's why we're here. it's really fun and exciting and let answer get into '13 and get into real things. i'm with you, joe. >> i know, but this deal has to play in peoria. >> it will play. >> compared to what you got in illinois now anything looks good. thanks. >> okay. >>> the executive chef tpz at jpmorgan the bank naming two chief officers to oversee things like anti-moneying. kayla tausche joins us. >> the person to watch everyone watching is looking at jez staly, he was chairman as of july largely viewed as a swank song role that rivals have taken note of. there were discussions over the ceo at legg mason, the baltimore asset manager. the talks fell apart and staly was the top of the short list for the board and recruiters after being serious talks for
of big caterpillar equipment and talk about what's going on in china and i hope we get back to that. you're right that's all we're talking about instead of talking about caterpillar and what you do well as a great company. >> thank you. again, every time i come to the floor it's the hub of our greatness in this country of business. it's why we're here. it's really fun and exciting and let answer get into '13 and get into real things. i'm with you, joe. >> i know, but this deal has...
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Dec 28, 2012
12/12
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FBC
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got my mba from the university of miami and many peopl from all ports of the world, india, europe, china, who wanted to stay here after they graduated and work on their companies, create new start-ups, but they were unable to do so because after you graduate you get a job with an existing company or you leave and for many them that was not a good option and they left and took their ideas and companies with them. >> so th get their fancy education here and go back to indian or somewhere else. >>guest: w would like to stem the tide and keep them closer, and bring them back to the united states so they can create new job and new companies. >> if they worked for a company they could have stayed? >>guest: if you get sponsored by a large corporation you can get the prop visas to work in the country but you cannot self sponsor and you cannot be here and create your own start-ups without going through some pret significant legal work. >> to build this big ship where people live cost as lot of money and peop are actually giving you money fo this? >>guest: theface book funder and creator of pay pa
got my mba from the university of miami and many peopl from all ports of the world, india, europe, china, who wanted to stay here after they graduated and work on their companies, create new start-ups, but they were unable to do so because after you graduate you get a job with an existing company or you leave and for many them that was not a good option and they left and took their ideas and companies with them. >> so th get their fancy education here and go back to indian or somewhere...
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Dec 28, 2012
12/12
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FBC
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lot of good public health things being done and the rest of the world that is dominateing india and china, but in the 60's they missed. the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. today when we land, 2010, these are the countries that borrow money to the richest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the lower left for thousands of years, it has been 200 years that you have all of this activity and how come some countries are still stuck? >> it is easy to understand. the best message today is that most of the african cntries are now in fast economic growth. they have corrected the wrong market ideas they had 20 years ago, and they have a much better education than, -- and tanzania is similar to thailand in 1972 and soon we will see african countries doing good. this is wonderful. our problems are solved w know what works and we will be rich. >>guest: no, we have this problem with two billion human beings
lot of good public health things being done and the rest of the world that is dominateing india and china, but in the 60's they missed. the market economies are good and they grow their economies and they are catching up. today when we land, 2010, these are the countries that borrow money to the richest when they have their problems. >> in my mind this raises two questions, or two amazing results from this. there have been thousands of years of human history and everyone was stuck on the...
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262
Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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we can talk china. europe's been left behind. the only thing that's keeping us back is any deal. just get any deal if we can get 4% growth? >> it has to be a real deal that's north of $4 trillion. here's where kent and i might disagree. i agree that we can get to a grand bargain but it has to be one in my case where you've actually made the decisions. i'm not going to do another process bill, i'm sorry. you know -- >> meaning -- >> i want -- let's implement the policies right now. i don't want to set up another committee, i don't want to give directions to committees to come back. you know there's an old adage here in the senate, there's nothing to be learned from the second kick in the shin from a mule. okay? we've already been down the path of a process. we had 12 really smart folks, six on each side, and i'm not willing to go down that route again. i want us to make the decisions now, i want the entitlement reforms put in place now, and i hope that speaker boehner will not negotiate a way the debt ceiling until those specific reforms are in place. that's been missing in this d
we can talk china. europe's been left behind. the only thing that's keeping us back is any deal. just get any deal if we can get 4% growth? >> it has to be a real deal that's north of $4 trillion. here's where kent and i might disagree. i agree that we can get to a grand bargain but it has to be one in my case where you've actually made the decisions. i'm not going to do another process bill, i'm sorry. you know -- >> meaning -- >> i want -- let's implement the policies right...
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Dec 14, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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the china news is good. i like a and r. i like the cole names. the one beaten down has the most up side. >> simon. >> in video the table chip. >>> j.j. >> in the financial sector it's like a boxer that gets beat up day after day after day, it never goes down. with that being said, goldman sachs is a financial stock. >> what do you make of this argument that santolli was making, pete. you can get a sell on the news event if you get a deal on the fiscal krif. it's counter intuitive. >> if that were to happen, i agree with josh. i don't know that i see that in front of us. if that were to happen, i think that present a great opportunity. i look at the financials. goldman sachs, i look at all the financials. jpmorgan, goldman sachs, i like them. >> i totally get what mike's saying. it's an interesting thing to consider. it's definitely possible of course. my inclination would be a 1,000 point dow rally. there's so much pent up fear and skepticism. with that out of the way in addition to what the feds told us, which is low rates until we're dead, i ca
the china news is good. i like a and r. i like the cole names. the one beaten down has the most up side. >> simon. >> in video the table chip. >>> j.j. >> in the financial sector it's like a boxer that gets beat up day after day after day, it never goes down. with that being said, goldman sachs is a financial stock. >> what do you make of this argument that santolli was making, pete. you can get a sell on the news event if you get a deal on the fiscal krif. it's...
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Dec 26, 2012
12/12
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WBAL
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china. you want to be in them when the great wall's crumbling. i have seen downgrades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc, and coach which has been expanding agrefsly in china. imagine kfc. similarly a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping on our markets slyke taking your financial life in your own hands. how are we finding out? companies as diverse as corning, ppg all march to the beat of the asian drummer these days. you're not going see it in the release. it's all in the pestering frt analysts. pretty simple. listen to the call and don't hang up until you've read the questioners. read the transcript. one piece of the earnings puzing which is incredible, this is the earnings season that you have to weather something that i've never talked about before. and we've got to do this before we're done for the night. one that's become obvious to anyone who watches this show regularly. can't believe i have to do this but i'm going to say it. you have to know the chart of the stock head
china. you want to be in them when the great wall's crumbling. i have seen downgrades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc, and coach which has been expanding agrefsly in china. imagine kfc. similarly a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping on our markets slyke taking your financial life in your own hands. how are we finding out? companies as diverse as corning, ppg all march to the beat of the asian drummer these days. you're...
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Dec 27, 2012
12/12
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CNBC
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i think china is coming out of some of their troubles. crude was up a fair amount yesterday. and if you look at, say, the crude chart and the caterpillar chart, they're very similar. big round trip from the lows of the summer, big high. but now we're building a base and if china is going to end up doing better, then all the infrastructure that caterpillar supports is going to be great for that company. >> yeah. housing, you saw that in the journal today, huh? that has to be -- that might offset, if we could get housing going again, that might offset a lot of things happening in d.c. >> great news about housing prices finally. although i'm also the kind of guy who thinks that actually a little inflation or actually a fair amount of inflation would be great for the housing market. for some people, it's the only way that they're going to get out of this situation they're in in housing. that is they're under water on their homes. for a nation of debtors, inflation is a great thing. it doesn't do a whole lot for savers. but if you're under water on your house, inflation might be t
i think china is coming out of some of their troubles. crude was up a fair amount yesterday. and if you look at, say, the crude chart and the caterpillar chart, they're very similar. big round trip from the lows of the summer, big high. but now we're building a base and if china is going to end up doing better, then all the infrastructure that caterpillar supports is going to be great for that company. >> yeah. housing, you saw that in the journal today, huh? that has to be -- that might...